Tarek Mansour

未来公共预测市场里，大规模参与者可能不再是「人群」，而是 AI Agent。 但要先看懂今天为什么像体育盘 公共预测市场，为什么越来越像体育盘？ 不是平台/CEO 不努力，是结构就这样注定的。 （最新一篇英文长文把这条链讲透了，文末有链接） Kalshi、Polymarket 过去一年，大约 65% 成交量是体育。 科技类市场，只有 1% 左右。 为什么没办法出现很多「有意思」的市场？ 四类参与人群里： 「储蓄型资金」进不来——预测市场对交易者是零和，不能增值。 「对冲者」也很少——大家想对冲的是事件后果，不是事件本身。 最后只剩赌客撑场，聪明钱跟着赌客打短周期体育盘。 想开新市

"Russians and Iranians are scum, they are subhuman, they ruin prediction markets by making them unsafe" - Head of Enforcement at Kalshi

NEW: @DefiLlama LISTS @Kalshi ON ITS REVENUE DASHBOARD DATA IS OFF CHAIN SOURCE: https://t.co/8Xcyfyl3tJ https://t.co/52llGdfEFB

Another HUGE opportunity at Kalshi for the right person: Looking for someone who is trader/exchange savvy - has an existing 'book' of trader relationships across platforms (TG/X/Discord/Reddit) and types of exchange (RH/'nance/CB/IBKR/etc) and/or willing to get in the trenches and beef up their net

The search is on for the next James Bond, and there’s reportedly a new favorite to take over the role of Agent 007, so that begs the question – who will play the next Bond girl? Our sponsor Kalshi’s prediction market shows: — Zendaya: 94% — Margaret Qualley: 20% — Sydney Sweeney: 17% — Anya Taylor-

$BTC Losing key level, looks weak and bearish, next target and bounce level to me is 72.8k https://x.com/Kalshi_Crypto/status/2059642274619777345

Crypto Influencers and Bitcoin Conference Urge Followers to Show Support for Bitcoin

RT @Kalshi_Finance: BREAKING: 50% chance Tesla and SpaceX merge within the next year https://t.co/VoI4ZlUYfe

In today's @Unchained_pod Daily newsletter: 💼 $1.3B IBIT trade. Zero BTC move. 🏛️ Trump calls state prediction regulators “SCUM.” 📈 HYPE ETF flows crush BTC, ETH, and SOL. 🌍 Spain blocks Polymarket and Kalshi. 📩 Don’t miss out—read here & sign up for daily updates! https://t.co/E3TC7aY4xe

Do the regulatory work early — it pays off. Sara Eisen (@CNBC) in conversation with Tarek Mansour of @Kalshi and Alex Michael of Lion Tree LLC at last week's Rise of Prediction Markets. Thanks to our sponsor @nielsen for helping make these conversations possible.