Polymarket
Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, allowing you to stay informed and profit from your knowledge by betting on future events across various topics. Studies show prediction markets are often more accurate than pundits because they combine news, polls, and expert opinions into a single value that represents the market’s view of an event’s odds. Our markets reflect accurate, unbiased, and real-time probabilities for the events that matter most to you. Markets seek truth.
News
I was just scammed for $500K by Polymarket. I am "willo2", the top holder of YES on "MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin by May 31st". Here's what happened:
The best possible outcome? Polymarket not taking responsibility and resolving this market as "unknown; 50-50" https://x.com/1942305960321769473/status/2061736255566884945
I actually mentioned like a thousand times on discord and privately. Polymarket should not rely on dispute volume. It is always a good practice to stop trading (or set to closing only unless you are certified pro trader) after the market deadline is passed. Then it would avoid so much problems, Kals
Kalshi, Polymarket and the UMA whales will make for a great story one day.
🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? https://t.co/814bAM3Kf2
42 @42space 上线了 明早 8:30 尼克斯 vs 马刺 （主）的一系列事件。 对于这场比赛，毫无疑问，我选择马刺胜出，总比分低于220，可能是防守大战。 马刺主场非常强势，雷霆在马刺主场都被虐，更别提实力不如雷霆的尼克斯了。 https://x.com/42space/status/2061692462226423940
虽然不是太资深的足球球迷，但德国队最让我印象深刻的就是 2014 年的巴西世界杯半决赛的时候 7 比 1 巴西队，要知道在巴西的主场，在主场 7 比 1 碾压式胜利还是太震惊我当时年幼的内心了，以至于时隔十多年还印象深刻 不过德国队这几年的世界杯表现都一般 😂 6 月世界杯到来，在预测市场里确实是个热点，以前你说泽连斯基西装的事存在主观成分结果有争议很正常，但经过昨天 Polymarket 罔顾事实大户用预言机机制操纵结果的事件，我是一点不想用他了
🇺🇸 NOW: Polymarket puts the odds of the CLARITY Act being signed into law in 2026 at just 52%, down 13% recently. https://t.co/mNhhR4fcft
RT @Polymarket: NEW: Brooklyn landlord claims a legal battle with a “9-year squatter” has drained his daughter’s college fund & cost him ov…
What was the impact of #Strategy selling 32 $BTC? It made this guy lose $527K in just one day! After #Strategy filed that it had sold 32 $BTC($2.47M), trader willo2 saw that the odds of #MicroStrategy selling $BTC before May 31 were still at 80% on #Polymarket. So he went all in on YES, trying to